Discovery may lead Brazil to join OPEC
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Subhaga [2011-05-20]
BEIJING, Nov. 12 -- Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula de Silva said the discovery of reserves that may total as much as eight billion barrels of oil and natural gas may lead the country to join the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Brazil won't join for at least five years, the amount of time its state-controlled oil company, Petroleo Brasileiro SA, needs to start output from the Tupi field, Lula said on Saturday in Santiago before leaving an Ibero-American summit.
Brazil would join Venezuela, a founder, and Ecuador, which is rejoining this month, as the cartel's third South American member.
The field, where the UK's BG Group Plc and Portugal's Galp Energia SGPS SA are partners, may boost Brazil's reserves by almost two-thirds, transforming it from a small net exporter into a major supplier to world markets. Still, it's premature for Lula to announce his intentions to enter OPEC since "there are huge technical challenges," David Fleischer, a political science professor at the University of Brasilia, told Bloomberg News.
Lula "may be getting ahead of himself because even though the markets loved the Tupi announcement, there's no guarantee they'll be able to make the field work," Fleischer said. "It sounds like Lula got a bit over-stimulated by his time with" Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, he said.
Chavez urged Lula during the summit to sell oil at below-market prices to poor countries.
"The road to social cohesion" could "be made with gravel or with this oil that Lula has just found," Chavez told the summit in Chile.
Lula said his goal in entering OPEC would be to "reduce oil prices a little, because that is one of the contributions that the countries rich in oil can give."
OPEC member states produce about 40 percent of the world's crude oil and attempt to direct prices by adjusting supply.
The discovery may allow Brazil to rival Venezuela in setting energy policy in the region and give it more leverage over Bolivia, the source of half of its natural gas, Fleischer said.
"The timing of the Tupi announcement on Nov. 8 was designed to boost Lula's bargaining power with Bolivia, Venezuela and Argentina," Fleischer said. "It's no surprise that Lula flew directly from Petrobras headquarters the day of the announcement to Santiago."
Tupi is the second-biggest field found in the last 20 years and holds almost as much as the 8.5 billion barrels of reserves of Norway, BP Plc said.