U.S. President Barack Obama will embark on his first Asian trip next week, with analysts saying Asia is weighing increasingly heavily on U.S. foreign policy.
The tour will start in Tokyo and conclude in Seoul, with stops in Beijing, Shanghai and Singapore. While in Singapore, the U.S. president is scheduled to attend the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, as well as his first ever meeting with leaders of the 10 Southeast Asian nations that make up the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.
IMPORTANCE OF ASIA
The president will travel to Asia "to strengthen our cooperation with this vital part of the world on a range of issues of mutual interest," said White House spokesman Robert Gibbs.
Kurt Tong, the senior U.S. APEC official, said at a briefing this week that a number of top U.S. officials would attend the APEC summit, including Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, U.S. Trade Representative RonKirk and Commerce Secretary Gary Locke.
Experts say that speaks volumes about the Obama administration's desire to play a greater role in Asia. In contrast, Condoleezza Rice was Bush's only cabinet official to attend last year's APEC meeting.
Themes will include the global economic recovery, resisting protectionism, regional economic integration and economic growth that is "less prone to booms and busts," according to Tong.
Tong billed the hefty presence of top U.S. officials as a bid to ramp up U.S. participation. "It's really quite a concerted and very enthusiastic embrace of the APEC meetings and APEC as an institution by the United States, as evidenced by that participation," Tong said.
Some experts say that is a major difference from the Bush administration, which was too busy with Middle East concerns to fully engage Asia.
Domestic and Middle East concerns should not diminish expectations for the trip, nor would they distract the administration from playing a greater role in the region, said Andy Johnson, director of the national security program at the Washington, D.C.-based Third Way.
"The Obama administration prides itself on the ability to concurrently (work in) in a number of areas," he said. "The team he put together and the personal focus he will put toward the trip will probably achieve something of substance."
Johnson said each stop of the upcoming visit had its own strategic importance to the United States. There was a growing interaction between the United States and China, and Japan and South Korea were regional allies hosting U.S. forces, so the trip would keep those relationships on a firm footing, he said. The region was also one of the world's most dynamic trading areas, he added.
APEC represented an important group of emerging countries and the United States wanted to ensure shared economic interests, he said.
Jin Canrong, deputy dean of the International Studies School at China's Renmin University, said: "Above all, against the background of the international financial crisis, a visit to Asia, which has been on a sound economic recovery led by countries such as China, is significant for Obama."
The United States had to cooperate with Asian countries in efforts to deal with the nuclear issues in Iran and on the Korean Peninsula, and to face up to the challenge of climate change, Jin said.
He said Asia had now overtaken Europe in its significance to the United States. U.S.-Europe trade accounted for only half of that with Asia and, with China's emergence, Asia was now increasingly indispensable to U.S. geopolitical interests.
STRATEGIC DIALOGUE WITH CHINA
Obama is slated to visit two Chinese cities -- Shanghai, the country's financial and commercial center, and its capital city Beijing, where he will hold talks with Chinese President Hu Jintao.
Obama had several times stressed the great importance of U.S.-China relations since he took office in January, said U.S. Deputy Secretary of State James Steinberg in his recent trip to China.
The United States hoped to reveal to the world through President Obama's China visit that the two countries were willing to jointly respond to global challenges, including the global financial crisis, terrorism and non-proliferation, he said.
According to a study by the Center for a New American Security, China's influence is increasingly global. The strategic think tank was co-founded two years ago by two now-high-ranked administration officials, Kurt Campbell, the assistant secretary of state for Asia, and Michele Flournoy, undersecretary of defense for policy.
The United States, consequently, "should make a concerted effort to engage China as a major partner in confronting global problems," it said.
Meanwhile, scholars and experts are expecting a "strategic dialogue" between the presidents of both countries during Obama's China tour.
Such a dialogue outweighed their coordination and cooperation in many concrete issues and problems, said J. Stapleton Roy, the U.S. ambassador to China from 1991-95, in a speech on Friday.
One of the focuses of their talks would be on economic cooperation, predicted Jin. "The United States might press China on intellectual property, the exchange rate of the RMB and market openness, while China might ratchet up efforts for market economy status and looser political control over Chinese investment in the United States," he said.
The visit would undoubtedly add momentum to Chinese-U.S. cooperation in energy, climate change and anti-terrorism, said Jin.
JAPAN AND SOUTH KOREA
Obama's Japan visit comes amid prickly relations with its majo rally, as the island nation's new government seeks to shift the dynamics of the long-standing alliance. Japan's new government wants to create a "relationship of equals," against the domination of their ties by the United States since the end of World War II.
Japan's newly found firmness has resulted in a row over the U.S. Marine Corps Futenma Air Base in Okinawa, which Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama suggested could be re-located outside the island, despite the Obama administration's blunt rejection.
But, at the same time, the country also hopes to maintain good relations with the United States, analysts say.
Gibbs said Obama would have two meetings with Hatoyama, adding that talks with the "key ally" would cover security, economic and other issues.
Despite the spat, analysts doubt whether the Futenma issue will surface during the talks.
"I don't think the president will bring it up," said Sheila A. Smith, senior fellow for Japan studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. "Both governments understand that the meeting is not the best venue for this conversation."
Obama's last stop, the Republic of Korea, will provide an opportunity to hold his third bilateral meeting with President Lee Myung Bak and consult on the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, coordinate on a range of regional and global issues and further strengthen the U.S.-South Korean alliance, Gibbs said.
Analysts said the nuclear issue involving the DPRK was expected to dominate Obama's talks with Lee.
The DPRK sent a representative to the United States on the stalled six-party talks at the end of last month. Ri Gun, DPRK's deputy negotiator in the six-party talks, met the U.S. special envoy on denuclearizing the Korean peninsula.
Seoul, expressing a cautious welcome to such contact, hopes to learn more about the U.S. policy on the DPRK. It also expects to have Obama's support for the plan it put forward for the DPRK to abandon its nuclear pursuit in exchange for an international security guarantee and economic aid.
