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Asian polypropylene supply tight, but rally curbed by low demand

Asian polypropylene supply tight, but rally curbed by low demand

Write: Katharine [2011-05-20]
Asian polypropylene supply is expected to be tight between December and January, but market participants said this week that the short supply is unlikely create a huge impact on spot market prices due to the lull season.

The tightness comes as some PP production facilities in Asia have been shut, and two Middle Eastern producers have also shut their plants.

In China, Sinopec has shut a few lines on the back of the ongoing diesel shortage there. Refineries have been told to focus on producing more diesel and this has resulted in less naphtha being available to be cracked into propylene and ethylene.

Zhenhai Refining & Chemical Company will shut its 300,000 mt/year PP line over December 4-20; Shanghai Petrochemical's 400,000 mt/year plant has been shut since November 15 and is expected to restart only in January; Sinopec's Maoming Company shut its 170,000 mt/year PP line on December 1 for a 36-day turnaround.

In Southeast Asia, Thailand's Siam Cement Group is operating its PP plants at an overall capacity of around 70% due to a series of maintenance shutdowns, in line with the cracker shutdown at its feedstock supplier Rayong Olefins Company, said a company source. Malaysia's Titan Chemicals is also running its PP units at around 80% capacity due to propylene constraints as well as technical issues, according to a company source.

Further west, Oman Polypropylene and Saudi Arabia's Advanced Petrochemicals Company have both shut their plants.

Last week, Oman PP was forced to idle its 340,000 mt/year polypropylene plant at Sohar for two weeks, as it is experiencing a feedstock shortage. The company faced a disruption in propylene supply from its supplier, Oman Refineries and Petrochemicals Company, which had shut its 75,260 b/d residual fluid catalytic cracker due to mechanical issues.

Advanced Petrochemical Company shut its 450,000 mt/year PP plant at Al-Jubail Monday on technical issues and it is expected to be shut for 10 days. A company source confirmed that it was not due to feedstock issues, but did not give further information about the problem.

Several market participants also said that another Saudi Arabian PP producer is also experiencing production issues, but a company source had earlier said that their PP unit was running "smoothly."

The apparent tightness in supply has boosted market sentiment for PP. However, these ongoing production issues and maintenance shutdowns have not caused a spike in prices, say market participants, because of the lack of demand from end-users.

"I feel the tightness of supply," said one polymers trader. "But customers are still wary because of the financial issues in China and the eurozone debt issue."

Other traders agree, saying that business has been slow this week on the back of tightened liquidity in China as well as measures to curb speculative trading.

"In a normal market situation, prices would have shot up," said another trader. "But the demand is just normal now."

PP demand is typically slower during the fourth quarter of the year as demand for finished products is lower.