The clampdown on the market has left domestic developers strapped for money, so some foreign investors want to jump in to get a foothold.
Jones Lang LaSalle
UNFAZED by the government s policy tightening spree, foreign players are returning to China s property market to invest in cash-strapped developers or buy distressed assets, global real estate consultant Jones Lang LaSalle said Tuesday.
After quitting China s real estate market during the global financial crisis to take profits and raise much-needed cash, foreign investors are piling into the sector once more, with demand today surpassing that of three years ago, JLL said.
The government s clampdown on the buoyant house market has left many domestic developers strapped for money, so some foreign investors want to jump in to get a foothold in the world s fastest-growing major economy, it said.
They are back, said David Hand, JLL s head of investment in China. They are looking in China to invest, speaking to guys like us to identify, on the residential side, those who are facing this liquidity constriction.
Foreign investors are not handing over their money on the cheap, however. They now demand returns of 10-12 percent, from 6-7 percent before the global financial crisis, Hand said.
On top of that, they also want to work more closely with company management to ensure they can get their money back smoothly and quickly, he said.
To tame record-high home prices and control inflation, China has tightened bank lending to developers, while virtually barring them from raising funds in the stock market.
That has pushed many Hong Kong-listed Chinese developers such as Evergrande and Glorious Property to sell bonds abroad instead.
Other tightening moves that target homebuyers are also adding to the squeeze on real estate developers by hitting property sales. That has led many industry observers to predict some regional developers may go bankrupt this year.
The prospect of firms falling onto hard times have attracted another group of international investors such as Morgan Stanley, Blackstone, Carlyle and JP Morgan, who want to buy attractively priced distressed assets, Hand said.
The competition now for prime commercial assets is really hot again, which is pushing up pricing again, he said.
The market has matured a little bit in that respect.
Foreign investors outside Asia accounted for a record 33 percent of China property investment in 2007. That more than halved in 2008 to 12 percent, before falling to a mere 2 percent in 2009. The ratio has recovered slightly since, rising to 7 percent last year, JLL said.
Not all property consultants are confident foreign investors would be flocking back in droves to China, however. Savills said it saw commercial real estate owned by foreign investors to fall in China in the next five years.
JLL competes in China and globally with DTZ, CB Richard Ellis and Savills.(SD-Agencies)